Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
43.57% ( -1.05) | 24.1% ( 0.43) | 32.32% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 59.91% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% ( -1.78) | 42.41% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( -1.8) | 64.82% ( 1.81) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -1.17) | 19.67% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( -1.94) | 51.66% ( 1.94) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( -0.48) | 25.42% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( -0.67) | 60.23% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |