MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 04:24:44| >> :600:9081963:9081963:
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
New Dundas Park
Arbroath

Bonnyrigg Rose
0 - 1
Arbroath


Murphy (32'), Martyniuk (50'), Currie (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reilly (87')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 3-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Arbroath (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawArbroath
48.15% (-0.278 -0.28) 23.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 28.53% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.068999999999996 0.07)40.67% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.071000000000005 0.07)63.05% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)17.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.65% (-0.141 -0.14)47.35% (0.143 0.14)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.212 0.21)26.98% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.274 0.27)62.33% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 48.15%
    Arbroath 28.53%
    Draw 23.31%
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawArbroath
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.53%

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