Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.