Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.