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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (14'), Barella (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Daniliuc (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Salernitana

Inter have not played out a draw in their last 18 league games, and that sequence is set to continue for Inzaghi's improving side, whose confidence has been boosted by recent Champions League feats. While Salernitana offer enough threat to score at San Siro, the hosts' forwards are finally running into form and will punish any lapses in concentration. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
70.9% (0.209 0.21) 17.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 11.99% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.054999999999993 0.05)9.17% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.91% (0.126 0.13)31.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.38% (-0.196 -0.2)41.61% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.174 -0.17)78.1% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.9%
    Salernitana 11.99%
    Draw 17.11%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.67% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.9%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.11%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Salernitana
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Juventus115601971221
3Inter Milan1063124131121
4Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
5Fiorentina105412191219
6Lazio106132213919
7Udinese115151416-216
8Bologna103611211115
9AC Milan94231611514
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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