Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
