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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Spezia Calcio logo

Parma
2 - 2
Spezia

Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Parma and Spezia, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawSpezia
34.13%27.9%37.98%
Both teams to score 47.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Score Analysis
    Parma 34.12%
    Spezia 37.98%
    Draw 27.89%
ParmaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Spezia
0-2
Parma

Gilardino (24'), Lopez (42')
Ceravolo (11'), Ciciretti (61')
Ceravolo (23'), Sierralta (45'), Ciciretti (62')
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Spezia
Lucarelli (31'), Di Cesare (57'), Sierralta (73')
Lucarelli (42')
Bolzoni (24'), Terzi (47'), Maggiore (48'), De Col (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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