MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:23:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2025 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
5 - 4
Hatayspor

Hajradinovic (30'), Kilama (39' og.), Kara (53'), Fall (69'), Winck (78')
Opoku (45+6'), Ben Ouannes (70'), Kara (88')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Boutobba (15'), Sertel (20'), Aboubakar (45+11' pen., 58')
Saglam (32'), Kardesler (36'), Rivas (55')
Calvo (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 3-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, January 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 3-1 Hatayspor

Opoku's return to the starting XI is expected to bolster Kasimpasa's defensive solidity compared to their previous outing, and combined with their decent ability to create chances, the hosts are well-placed to secure a narrow victory, especially against a visiting side that tends to concede opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawHatayspor
48.94% (0.128 0.13) 24.58% (0.061 0.06) 26.47% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (-0.422 -0.42)47.85% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.39 -0.39)70.03% (0.387 0.39)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.116 -0.12)19.59% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.189 -0.19)51.53% (0.185 0.18)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (-0.376 -0.38)32.23% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (-0.425 -0.42)68.72% (0.422 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 48.94%
    Hatayspor 26.47%
    Draw 24.58%
KasimpasaDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.47%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Hatayspor

Kasimpasa
89.2%
Draw
0.0%
Hatayspor
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 2
Hatayspor
1-1
Kasimpasa
Fernandes (21')
Hodzic (74'), Bamgboye (76')
Da Costa (90+1')
Kara (64')
Jan 20, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 21
Kasimpasa
3-0
Hatayspor
Winck (74'), Da Costa (79'), Fall (89')
Winck (82')

Aburjania (18'), Corekci (74')
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
1-0
Kasimpasa
Atsu (90+7')
Aug 28, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Kasimpasa
1-0
Hatayspor
Hajradinovic (36')
Eysseric (59'), Engin (90+2'), Fall (90+4')

Yilmaz (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray26215064273768
2Fenerbahce25194263234061
3Samsunspor26155644301450
4BesiktasBesiktas25128539251444
5EyupsporEyupspor26127739281143
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK25106943331036
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul2510694134736
8GaziantepGaziantep25105103535035
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor26103133444-1033
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor2696113047-1733
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor258894031932
12KasimpasaKasimpasa2671184551-632
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor2687113038-831
14KonyasporKonyaspor2677123240-828
15SivassporSivasspor2676133142-1127
16Bodrumspor2676131829-1127
17KayserisporKayserispor2569102745-1827
18Hatayspor2537152644-1816
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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