Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma1 - 1Fiorentina
We said: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Only once in their history have Fiorentina and Parma faced each other on Serie A's opening matchday, and 24 years after the previous meeting they will begin a brand-new season with a draw. While the hosts are familiar with Fabio Pecchia's setup, their visitors will be adapting to a new tactical framework under Raffaele Palladino and still have some work to do in the transfer market. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.69% ( -1.62) | 23.76% ( -0.06) | 48.55% ( 1.69) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
