Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.