We said: Kasimpasa 0-1 Fenerbahce
Kasimpasa have lost just one of their first seven matches in the Super Lig, but the Apaches are yet to face a side who can cut through a defence like Fenerbahce.
The Yellow Canaries made a raft of changes for the Conference League win in Slovakia on Thursday, meaning the league leaders' star names will be fresh and raring to extend the visitors' domestic winning run to eight matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.