Suriname will try to earn some points in their final match at the Gold Cup when they take on Guadeloupe on Tuesday from BBVA Compass Stadium in Houston.

Both teams were officially eliminated on Friday, with Natio losing 2-1 to Costa Rica, while the Gwada Boys conceded a late goal to fall to Jamaica by the same score.

Match preview

They may be going home soon, but Suriname have certainly not been an easy team to beat in this competition, giving the Costa Ricans all that they could handle on Friday.

After taking the lead on 52 minutes, they may have lost their focus a little bit and forgot their assignments, and Los Ticos made them pay, equalising six minutes later and then taking the lead one minute after that.

It may have been only a momentary lapse in concentration, but those rare mistakes have cost Dean Gorre and his team a chance to progress further in this competition.

Given that this is their first appearance at the Gold Cup, they have shown that they can compete hard against two solid and experienced sides in Costa Rica and the Reggae Boyz, and there is a lot to be excited about in the future.

Before officially saying goodbye to this competition, they will be challenged by a Guadeloupe side who, just like them, squandered a 1-0 lead, only to lose 2-1 in their previous fixture.

Guadeloupe put forth a much stronger effort in their second match, but it was not enough to keep them alive, as they dropped a second successive game, and a fifth straight at the Gold Cup.

The Gwada Boys got a very fortunate deflection in the fourth minute to take the lead versus Jamaica, but that only lasted for 10 minutes before the Reggae Boyz levelled the match and then won it after substitute Junior Flemmings fired a shot through the legs of Yohann Thuram.

It was the first time that Jocelyn Angloma saw his team come away empty-handed after scoring the opening goal.

This was the first appearance for the Guadeloupeans in this tournament in 10 years, but just like 2011, they will be heading home early, although a victory in the final game would see them improve on their standing from a decade ago.

Since September 2018, the Gwada Boys have only gone scoreless in two competitive fixtures, and they will be confident that they can score a few in their final match against Suriname, a team who have conceded eight times in their last three games.

Suriname CONCACAF Gold Cup form:

Suriname form (all competitions):

Guadeloupe CONCACAF Gold Cup form:

Guadeloupe form (all competitions):

Team News

Gleofilo Vlijter scored the first-ever goal for Suriname in this competition, his 12th for his country, and he needs just one more to draw even with Stefano Rijssel for the most all-time.

Suriname went with the same starting 11 as they did in their opener, although Damil Dankerlui, who assisted on their only goal, played just in behind their lone striker in holding midfield alongside Kelvin Leerdam.

Dutch-born midfielder Mitchell Donald was the only new player to enter the fray for Suriname from their opening match, with the 32-year-old making only his second career international appearance.

Quentin Annette made his first start at the Gold Cup, playing in central midfield for the Guadeloupeans, while Morgan Saint-Maximin played a little further out wide.

Striker Raphael Mirval, who had started in attack in his team's eight previous games, came on as an early substitute, replacing Luther Archimede after only 15 minutes of play, while Dimitri Ramothe and Matthias Phaeton both started in attack.

Kevin Moeson made his first appearance in the competition versus the Jamaicans, and Vikash Tille also came on as a substitute for a second successive game.

Suriname possible starting lineup:
Hahn; Klaiber, Malone, Donk, Haps; Koolwijk, Leerdam; Jozefzoon, Biseswar, Alberg; Vlijter

Guadeloupe possible starting lineup:
Ajax; Alphonse, Pineau, Baron, Irep; Saint-Maximin, Cavare, Malpon; Ramothe, Mirval, Phaeton

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We say: Suriname 2-1 Guadeloupe

Suriname have fought hard in their two matches at this competition, and they have been unlucky not to come away with anything, but they should be able to find more openings against a side who have conceded six goals in their last three games.

Guadeloupe looked better in their last match, but they have not been exceptional in any facet of the game and do not have the quality needed in the final third.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Written by
Joel Lefevre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.