Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Servette in this match.