Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Basel had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.