The 2023 Euros already has the makings of a truly unpredictable tournament, and we would not put it past the Czech Republic to make one of their attacking plays count against the German backline, in spite of their recent difficulties when it comes to finishing chances.
Germany can empathise in that regard, but the champions would have easily come away with a convincing success against Israel on another day, and we expect Di Salvo's men to right the wrongs of midweek to belatedly kickstart their title defence and inflict another early exit on the Little Lions.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Czech Republic Under-21s had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Czech Republic Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0) 
