Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s had a probability of 8.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.57%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.
