Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Minai had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Minai win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.
