Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.