Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma Women win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for St Polten Women had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest St Polten Women win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.