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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Oct 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Gipedo Neas Efkarpias Makedonikou

Valerenga
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Valerenga Women and Real Madrid Femenino.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 11 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Valerenga
Wednesday, October 11 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Valerenga Women win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Valerenga WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
13.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.56% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 66.46% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)12.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)37.69% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Women 13.98%
    Real Madrid Femenino 66.45%
    Draw 19.56%
Valerenga WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.18%
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 13.98%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.56%
0-2 @ 11.54%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 66.45%

How you voted: Valerenga vs Real Madrid

Valerenga Women
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Real Madrid Femenino
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2023 7pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Real Madrid
2-1
Valerenga
Zornoza (4'), Galvez (44')
Karlsson (26')
Matilda Lofwenius (69'), Tompkins (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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