Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
