Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 7.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.01%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.