MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:45:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena

Everton
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Sarri (89')
Gago (78'), Gago (78'), Ribadeira (90+1'), Lawley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (31')
Baijings (45+2'), Maritz (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Everton Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 2-1 Man City
Sunday, December 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Everton Women 1-1 Aston Villa Women

Villa have shown plenty of promise since Goater took interim charge, but they are yet to play an away game under his watch, and having failed to win any of their five WSL road trips, we think that they may have to settle for a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Everton Women had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Everton Women win was 1-0 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Everton WomenDrawAston Villa Women
24.75% (-0.54 -0.54) 23.76% (0.243 0.24) 51.5% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-1.376 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (-1.555 -1.56)45.69% (1.564 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (-1.497 -1.5)68.01% (1.504 1.5)
Everton Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-1.277 -1.28)32.47% (1.286 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-1.463 -1.46)68.99% (1.472 1.47)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.46499999999999 -0.46)17.76% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.816 -0.82)48.45% (0.825 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Everton Women 24.75%
    Aston Villa Women 51.5%
    Draw 23.76%
Everton WomenDrawAston Villa Women
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.75%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.503 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.61% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 5.58% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.5%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 16
Everton
1-2
Aston Villa
Stenevik (85')
Stenevik (70')
Stenevik (90+6')
Dali (55'), Salmon (60')
Taylor (90+4')
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Aston Villa
1-2
Everton
Daly (55')
Patten (54' og.), Bjorn (74' pen.)
Holmgaard (20'), Snoeijs (45'), Vanhaevermaet (90+2')
Mar 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 14
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Dali (5'), Finnigan (67' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
0-1
Everton

Mayling (90+4')
Galli (80')
Graham (11'), Dali (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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