Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 3.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.72%) and 0-4 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.