Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.