Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a India win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a India win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.