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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Audi Sportpark

Ingolstadt
3 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue

Schmidt (25'), Musliu (28'), Poulsen (90+1')
Gaus (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jonjic (69'), Gonther (89')
Zolinski (38'), Nazarov (56')
Osei Owusu (7')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Ingolstadt 04

Last Six:
Last Game: Hannover 3-2 Ingolstadt
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Ingolstadt vs. SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Erzgebirge Aue

Last Six:
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawErzgebirge Aue
48.68%25.83%25.48%
Both teams to score 49.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.11%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96%22.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63%55.37%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    FC Ingolstadt 04 48.68%
    Erzgebirge Aue 25.48%
    Draw 25.83%
FC Ingolstadt 04DrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.11%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue

FC Ingolstadt 04
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 5.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
1-0
Ingolstadt
Sijaric (62')
Gonther (34'), Jonjic (61'), Schreck (79')
Fandrich (89')

Keller (74'), Kutschke (90+3')
Aug 9, 2021 5.30pm
Ingolstadt
2-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Bilbija (7'), Kaya (79')
Linsmayer (26'), Hawkins (80')
Zolinski (68')
Carlson (60')
Feb 10, 2019 12.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
0-3
Ingolstadt

Kalig (17'), Fandrich (35'), Kusic (40'), Wydra (55'), Hochscheidt (70'), Testroet (74')
Kittel (14'), Kotzke (50'), Cacutalua (77' og.)
Aug 31, 2018 5.30pm
Ingolstadt
3-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Rocher (19'), Lezcano (70'), Benschop (79')
Schrock (50'), Galvao (67'), Krausse (90')
Testroet (37'), Nazarov (90')
Feb 11, 2018 12.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
0-0
Ingolstadt

Kalig (70')

Gaus (35'), Lezcano (84')
rhs 2.0
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