DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark
Ingolstadt2 - 1Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 36.81% | 28.8% | 34.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
