2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Hamburger SV1 - 0St Pauli
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and St Pauli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braunschweig 0-4 Hamburger SV
Saturday, April 27 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, April 27 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hansa Rostock
Friday, April 26 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, April 26 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | St Pauli |
40.82% ( 0.29) | 22.8% ( 0.23) | 36.38% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 65.99% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
