MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:54:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburg logo

St Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

Smith (61'), Hartel (74'), Otto (89')
Medic (33'), Vasilj (70'), Saliakas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heuer Fernandes (70')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Braunschweig 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-1 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, October 8 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
29.91% (0.423 0.42) 23.81% (0.251 0.25) 46.28% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (-0.929 -0.93)42.15% (0.925 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.936 -0.94)64.55% (0.934 0.93)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)26.81% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.245 -0.25)62.1% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.634 -0.63)18.43% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-1.078 -1.08)49.6% (1.076 1.08)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 29.91%
    Hamburger SV 46.28%
    Draw 23.81%
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.202 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Hamburger SV

St Pauli
10.0%
Draw
5.0%
Hamburger SV
85.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
St Pauli
Schonlau (58'), Jatta (70')
Walter (63'), Kittel (66'), Reis (78')
Burgstaller (30')
Amenyido (26'), Irvine (45+3'), Hartel (65'), Benatelli (90+4')
Aug 13, 2021 5.30pm
St Pauli
3-2
Hamburger SV
Ole Becker (27'), Makienok (56', 58')
Paqarada (5'), Dzwigala (84')
Kittel (43'), Glatzel (77')
Schonlau (3'), Kinsombi (66'), Kaufmann (90')
Mar 1, 2021 7.30pm
St Pauli
1-0
Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')

Jung (35')
Leibold (90+5')
Oct 30, 2020 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-2
St Pauli
Terodde (12', 84')
Kittel (71')
Zalazar Martinez (35'), Makienok (82')
Dittgen (56')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Hamburger SV
0-2
St Pauli
Veerman (20'), Penney (29')
Diamantakos (12'), Ohlsson (62'), Veerman (64'), Buballa (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hamburger SV25129455322345
2FC Koln2513573830844
3KaiserslauternKaiserslautern2512764335843
4Magdeburg25119553381542
5SC PaderbornSC Paderborn25119539291042
6Elversberg25117745311440
7Hannover2510963225739
8Nuremberg2511594339438
9Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf2510874238438
10Karlsruher SCKarlsruher2510694446-236
11Schalke 04Schalke2596104244-233
12Greuther Furth2596103745-833
13SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2587104441331
14Hertha Berlin2575133342-926
15Preussen Munster2558122634-823
16Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig2558122344-2123
17SSV UlmUlm25310122532-719
18Jahn RegensburgJahn2544171453-3916
> 2.Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!