Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Koln in this match.
0.09) 
-0.11) 
