Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
