Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
IFK Mariehamn	Draw	Vaasan Palloseura
42.63% ( -0.07)	24.09% ( 0.03)	33.28% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

-0.11)

42.01% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

-0.12)

64.42% (

0.12)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0.08)

19.92% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

-0.13)

52.05% (

0.13)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.03)

24.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82% (

-0.05)

59.18% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

IFK Mariehamn 42.63%

Vaasan Palloseura 33.28%

Draw 24.08%

IFK Mariehamn	Draw	Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.63%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.28%