Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for KTP had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
