Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.