Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
37.26% | 25.41% | 37.33% |
Both teams to score 56.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% | 47.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% | 69.74% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% | 24.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% | 59.63% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% | 24.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% | 59.58% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |