Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
43.03% ( 0.28) | 21.91% ( 0.02) | 35.06% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 69.2% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.32% ( -0.22) | 30.67% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48% ( -0.26) | 52% ( 0.26) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( 0.01) | 15.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.25% ( 0.03) | 43.74% ( -0.03) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% ( -0.24) | 18.44% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.38% ( -0.41) | 49.62% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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