MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:58:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 9am UK
Allianz Stadium
Sydney FC

Adelaide United
4 - 3
Sydney FC

Ibusuki (24', 34', 73'), Irankunda (45+5')
Cavallo (90+7')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Caceres (7'), Lolley (76', 90+5')
Brattan (42')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
43.03% (0.278 0.28) 21.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 35.06% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 69.2% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.32% (-0.217 -0.22)30.67% (0.215 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48% (-0.258 -0.26)52% (0.257 0.26)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.012999999999991 0.01)15.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)43.74% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)18.44% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.407 -0.41)49.62% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 43.03%
    Sydney FC 35.06%
    Draw 21.91%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 7.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Adelaide United
1-5
Sydney FC
Clough (67' pen.)
Yull (16')
Lolley (4', 13'), Kucharski (31', 44'), Gomes (46')
Apr 7, 2023 8am
Oct 23, 2022 5am
Gameweek 3
Sydney FC
2-2
Adelaide United
Lolley (48'), Wood (52')
Kitto (13'), Van Der Saag (58')
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 22
Sydney FC
2-3
Adelaide United
Grant (6'), Buhagiar (62')
Grant (43'), Ninkovic (57'), Yazbek (79')
Goodwin (36', 90+5'), Blackwood (89')
Goodwin (40'), Cavallo (66'), Popovic (79')
Feb 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Adelaide United
1-2
Sydney FC
Mauk (32')
Kamsoba (10'), Bobo (73')
Donachie (65')
rhs 2.0
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