Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
48.45% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() | 30.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.57% (![]() | 27.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.97% (![]() | 48.02% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% (![]() | 12.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% (![]() | 37.71% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% (![]() | 19.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.34% (![]() | 50.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.53% (![]() 3-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 8.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.7% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |