Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.