Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.