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Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 23, 2022 at 5am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Adelaide United

Sydney FC
2 - 2
Adelaide United

Lolley (48'), Wood (52')
Burgess (65'), Wood (75'), Caceres (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kitto (13'), Van Der Saag (58')
Popovic (80'), Halloran (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawAdelaide United
47.85% (1.409 1.41) 23.08% (-0.319 -0.32) 29.07% (-1.09 -1.09)
Both teams to score 61.75% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (0.867 0.87)39.21% (-0.869 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (0.902 0.9)61.54% (-0.904 -0.9)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.872 0.87)16.68% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (1.539 1.54)46.56% (-1.541 -1.54)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)25.88% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (-0.368 -0.37)60.86% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 47.85%
    Adelaide United 29.07%
    Draw 23.08%
Sydney FCDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.133 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.07%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-3
Adelaide United
Grant (6'), Buhagiar (62')
Grant (43'), Ninkovic (57'), Yazbek (79')
Goodwin (36', 90+5'), Blackwood (89')
Goodwin (40'), Cavallo (66'), Popovic (79')
Feb 4, 2022 8.45am
Jun 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-1
Adelaide United
Le Fondre (24' pen.), Bobo (43')
Juande (64')
Juande (49'), Lopez (52'), Mauk (74')
May 29, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United
1-4
Sydney FC
Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (63')
Le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')
Apr 18, 2021 7.05am
Sydney FC
2-2
Adelaide United
Bobo (19', 51')
Grant (90+3')
Elsey (75'), Juric (79')
Juric (33'), Toure (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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