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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2023 at 8am UK
Coopers Stadium
Sydney FC

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Goodwin (48')
D'Arrigo (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
le Fondre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Adelaide United
Friday, March 31 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-3 Western Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 3-1 Sydney FC

It has been raining goals during Adelaide United's recent matches and that offensive quality that the team brings should lead to them edging this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
38.63% (-0.396 -0.4) 22.92% (0.147 0.15) 38.45% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 65.68% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.75699999999999 -0.76)35.43% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-0.844 -0.84)57.46% (0.84500000000001 0.85)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.50399999999999 -0.5)18.92% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.844 -0.84)50.42% (0.844 0.84)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.214 -0.21)19% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-0.36 -0.36)50.55% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 38.63%
    Sydney FC 38.45%
    Draw 22.92%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 38.45%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Sydney FC

Adelaide United
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Sydney FC
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5am
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-3
Adelaide United
Grant (6'), Buhagiar (62')
Grant (43'), Ninkovic (57'), Yazbek (79')
Goodwin (36', 90+5'), Blackwood (89')
Goodwin (40'), Cavallo (66'), Popovic (79')
Feb 4, 2022 8.45am
Jun 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-1
Adelaide United
Le Fondre (24' pen.), Bobo (43')
Juande (64')
Juande (49'), Lopez (52'), Mauk (74')
May 29, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United
1-4
Sydney FC
Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (63')
Le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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19-24
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