Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.