Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.32%) and 1-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.92% ( -0.58) | 21.47% ( 0.05) | 27.6% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 66.55% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.57% ( 0.19) | 32.42% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.94% ( 0.22) | 54.06% ( -0.22) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.83% ( -0.11) | 13.16% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.14% ( -0.23) | 39.86% ( 0.22) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( 0.44) | 23.36% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.66% ( 0.63) | 57.33% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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