Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.