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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 23, 2024 at 6am UK
Allianz Stadium
Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Jelacic (6'), O'Shea (43' pen.)
Warland (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mauk (33'), Clough (46'), Goodwin (62')
Kikianis (45+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, November 9 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
37.86% (0.374 0.37) 21.88% (0.239 0.24) 40.25% (-0.615 -0.62)
Both teams to score 69.82% (-0.938 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.94% (-1.217 -1.22)30.06% (1.216 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.74% (-1.48 -1.48)51.26% (1.481 1.48)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08% (-0.377 -0.38)16.92% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02% (-0.672 -0.67)46.98% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.744 -0.74)15.95% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.382 -1.38)45.23% (1.383 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 37.86%
    Adelaide United 40.25%
    Draw 21.88%
Brisbane RoarDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 4.8% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.7% (0.183 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 40.25%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 10.55am
Gameweek 26
Brisbane Roar
3-4
Adelaide United
Hore (3', 83'), Waddingham (78')
Brownlie (59'), Aldred (73'), Hore (90+3')
Ibusuki (39', 47'), Mauk (64'), Van Der Saag (74')
Irankunda (21'), Van Der Saag (33'), Mauk (73')
Dec 10, 2023 4am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
0-2
Brisbane Roar

Ibusuki (90')
Lofthouse (48'), O'Shea (54' pen.)
Lofthouse (60')
Feb 4, 2023 8.45am
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Adelaide United
2-0
Brisbane Roar
Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC22137242212146
2Western UnitedWestern Utd22125549311841
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City22124631201140
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney22106650371336
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2210663830836
6Sydney FCSydney FC2296747361133
7Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United229674848033
8Macarthur239594638832
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2275103439-526
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2351082641-1525
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2266102334-1124
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2125142445-2111
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2325161654-3811


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