Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.