MX23RW : Friday, November 22 17:31:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 9, 2024 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar

Victory
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Velupillay (38'), Geria (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shour (28'), Van Der Saag (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, November 3 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-3 Sydney FC
Friday, November 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
44.27% (0.735 0.73) 24.3% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 31.43% (-0.709 -0.71)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.176 -0.18)43.66% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.172 -0.17)66.05% (0.176 0.18)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.24900000000001 0.25)19.88% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.398 0.4)51.99% (-0.395 -0.39)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.527 -0.53)26.58% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.705 -0.7)61.79% (0.70999999999999 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.27%
    Brisbane Roar 31.43%
    Draw 24.29%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.43%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
Mar 3, 2024 6am
Gameweek 19
Brisbane Roar
3-2
Victory
Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')
Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
Oct 29, 2022 5am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!