Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 93.5%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (7.99%) and 3-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (0.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Auckland FC |
93.5% ( -1.22) | 4.44% ( 0.83) | 2.05% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( -1.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
89.87% ( -2.47) | 10.12% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
77.51% ( -4.51) | 22.48% ( 4.52) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.93% ( -0.33) | 1.07% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
94.08% ( -1.55) | 5.91% ( 1.55) |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.44% ( -1.39) | 46.55% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.85% ( -1.08) | 82.15% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Auckland FC |
4-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.73) 5-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 1.18) 4-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.1) 6-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.53) 7-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.72) 7-1 @ 3% ( -0.62) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.62) 8-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.56) 6-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.28) 8-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.52) 7-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.29) 9-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.4) Other @ 6.21% Total : 93.5% | 1-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.23) Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.44% | Other @ 2.05% Total : 2.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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