Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 at 8.15am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington3 - 0Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
47.72% ( 0.04) | 21.2% ( 0.31) | 31.07% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 70.21% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
