Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
52.32% (![]() | 20.29% (![]() | 27.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 70.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.32% (![]() | 26.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.92% (![]() | 47.07% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.21% (![]() | 10.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.19% (![]() | 34.8% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% (![]() | 52.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 7.8% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 6.19% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |