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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 19, 2024 at 5am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Auckland FC
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Van Der Saag (8' og.), Rogerson (74')
Verstraete (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Van Der Saag (56')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, August 17 at 4am in Club Friendlies 3

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Goa 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 93.41%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-4 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (8.05%) and 0-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.78%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawBrisbane Roar
2.07% (0.496 0.5) 4.52% (0.923 0.92) 93.41% (-1.42 -1.42)
Both teams to score 52.29% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.46% (-2.124 -2.12)10.53% (2.122 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
76.79% (-3.824 -3.82)23.21% (3.823 3.82)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.88% (0.416 0.42)47.12% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42% (0.31 0.31)82.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.88% (-0.315 -0.31)1.12% (0.3151 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.86% (-1.473 -1.47)6.14% (1.4721 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 2.07%
    Brisbane Roar 93.41%
    Draw 4.52%
Auckland FCDrawBrisbane Roar
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 2.07%
1-1 @ 1.78% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 1.51% (0.278 0.28)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 4.52%
0-4 @ 8.95% (0.335 0.33)
0-5 @ 8.05% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-3 @ 7.97% (0.826 0.83)
1-4 @ 6.73% (0.327 0.33)
1-5 @ 6.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-6 @ 6.03% (-0.664 -0.66)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.685 0.69)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.88 0.88)
1-6 @ 4.54% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-2 @ 4% (0.701 0.7)
0-7 @ 3.87% (-0.745 -0.75)
1-7 @ 2.91% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-4 @ 2.53% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 2.37% (0.528 0.53)
2-5 @ 2.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.281 0.28)
0-8 @ 2.17% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-6 @ 1.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-8 @ 1.64% (-0.434 -0.43)
2-7 @ 1.1% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-9 @ 1.09% (-0.407 -0.41)
Other @ 5.88%
Total : 93.41%

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